Thursday, August 21, 2014

European Soccer Preview

European Football (Soccer) Preview

            The season has finally arrived!  Most of the top European leagues kick off their season openers this weekend, and I don’t think there is anything more exciting in sports.  This year, I will attempt to not care so much about who wins or loses, and just enjoy the football for the sport that it is!  That said, here are some thoughts on what I’m thinking for the 2014-15 football campaigns.

English Premier League:

Champions: Manchester City
Rest of Top 4: Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool
European Places: Manchester United, Everton, Tottenham
Mid-Table Obscurity: Aston Villa, Newcastle, Stoke City, West Ham
Safe for a Year: Southampton, QPR, Sunderland, Swansea City
Battling For Safety: West Bromwich, Crystal Palace
Relegated: Leicester City, Hull City, Burnley.

Premier League Eleven: Lloris; Debuchy, Kompany, G.Cahill, Kolarov; YaYa Toure, Ramsey; David Silva; Sergio Aguero, Rooney, Sturridge.

FA Cup: Tottenham
League Cup: Arsenal

Premier League Notes:  Now that the pecking order at Manchester City has been established, I fully expect them to have a firm grip on the English Premier league for year’s to come.  The only problem I have with their squad is that it still isn’t built for Europe.  They need a little more class on the edges of their midfield... I really like what Wenger has done in this remodel.  They can attack from all sides of the pitch now, and the signing of Chambers was really underrated.  He’ll provide width from both sides. If they happen to crash out of Europe during qualifiers, they can make a huge run at the league... I see Chelsea doing a little flip-flop of the intentions of Arsenal.  While I think they will be competitive in the league, I think Mourinho wants to bring a Champions League trophy back to the Bridge...4th will be the tightest race in my opinion.  I think Liverpool, Manchester United, Everton and Tottenham could all be challenging for it by season’s end.  While I don’t think Liverpool has the squad to challenge on two fronts, the goals of Sturridge could be enough to lock up that final place...Aston Villa is my surprise package this season.  The youth is coming together nicely, and there wasn’t any interest in their players this off-season.  They should be focused and ready to challenge for the top half... Newcastle had a great transfer window, but I think there are a few inconsistencies in their squad.  They’re still missing that firepower from midfield after the sale of Yohan Cabaye last January... I think Southampton won’t have anything to worry about.  They replaced most of their youngsters sold, and they did it with players that will fit into Koeman’s side.  I expect them to be safe with 5-6 weeks to go... QPR should also be in a similar situation.  While Loic Remy will no longer be a part of the club, they should have enough in the tank to stay in the Premier League this season.  Redknapp won’t let them go down again... I thought Hull City would go down last year, and I was wrong.  I predict they will fall at the end of this season, but I won’t be surprised if they get me again.  While their squad is thin, they do have some good players (Alex Bruce, Nikica Jelavic) and Steve Bruce has done very well with them.

Bundesliga:

Champions: Bayern Munich
Rest of Top 4: Borussia Dortmund, FC Schalke, Vfl Wolfsburg
European Places: Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Moenchengladbach
Mid-Table Obscurity: Werder Bremen, Hannover 96, Eintracht Frankfurt, Mainz 05
Safe for a Year: HSV, Hertha Berlin, 1899 Hoffeinheim
Battling for Safety: Freiburg, Vfb Stuttgart, FC Koln
Relegated: SC Paderborn, Augsburg

Bundesliga Eleven: Neuer; Alaba, Piszczek, Hummels, Wollscheid; Schweinsteiger, Lars Bender; Robben, Gotze, Reus; Lewandowski

DFB Pokal: Bayern Munich

Bundesliga Notes:  I don’t think Bayern will miss Mario Mandzukic in the least, and perhaps this is the year that endorses Lewandowski as one of the best players in the world.  He certainly has the skills to reach that level, now he has the club.  I do think Toni Kroos will be missed, but Sebastian Rode and Thiago Alcantara should fit in admirably...Dortmund had some sneaky good signings this summer, but I think their problem is only that they are in the same league as Bayern Munich.  They should have the squad though that could push them to a semi-finals place in Champions League as long as Marco Reus and Mats Hummels are fit and productive...Wolfsburg might be my surprise package across Europe this year.  While I don’t think they will challenge for the Bundesliga title, they should challenge for a Champions League place and may win the DFB Pokal trophy as well.  They have one of the world’s brightest stars in Kevin De Bruyne and with Luis Gustavo, Ivan Perisic and Joshua Guilavogui in the midfield they may even push for second...the rest of the Bundesliga looks pretty straight forward for once.  There are usually a surprise going both directions every season such as Schalke finishing in 8th the same year they made the Champions League semi-final, and HSV almost getting relegated a season ago.  While I think neither circumstance happens again, Stuttgart going down wouldn’t be the biggest surprise.  They have been in the Bundesliga first division since 1977 and even won 3 titles since then.  But this current crop of players leaves a lot to be desired, and I think Stuttgart needs some fresh ideas as a club both on and off the pitch.

La Liga BBVA:

Champions: Real Madrid
Rest of Top 4: Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Valencia
European Places: Sevilla, Real Sociedad, Athletic Bilbao
Mid-Table Obscurity: Espanyol, Getafe, Malaga, Levante, Villarreal
Safe for a Year: Deportivo La Coruna
Battling for Safety: Celta Vigo, Rayo Vallecano, Granada
Relegated: Elche, Almeria, Eibar

BBVA Eleven: der Stegen; Alba, Sergio Ramos, Miranda; Iniesta, Arda Turan, Modric, Kroos; Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Bale.

Copa del Rey: Barcelona

BBVA Notes:  Real Madrid have very convincingly built up the best team in club football over the past two seasons.  It was just 24 months ago, where it looked like Cristiano Ronaldo was running a one man show with the rest of the team watching.  Now with recent signings Gareth Bale, Isco, Toni Kroos and James, there is no lack of attacking power across the front line.  I fully expect them to be the world’s strongest team for a majority of the year, and they could pull in a major trophy haul... I’m not sure what direction Barcelona is heading.  They are now entering the ‘peak’ years of Messi’s career and instead of building a team around him, they decided to address their attack and help him up there instead.  While the prospect of Neymar, Messi and Luis Suarez scoring numerous goals is delectable, their back four leaves much to be desired...  I’m most impressed with Atletico’s summer purchases.  They have brought in Mandzukic, Jan Oblak (A much underrated keeper), and my personal favorite Antoine Griezmann.  He could reach the levels of a Franck Ribery or Arjen Robben very soon and should keep the Atletico attack along with Arda Turan very strong...This is probably the league among the top 4 that I pay the least amount of attention to, so my guess for the 4th place spot is as good as any.  Valencia used to be a Champions League staple before their hiccup over the last five years, but looking at their squad, they should be strong enough to put up a fight with Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad for that final spot. 

Serie A:

Champions: AS Roma
Rest of Top 4: Juventus, Inter Milan, Napoli
European Places: Fiorentina, Lazio
Mid-Table Obscurity: Udinese, Parma, Sampdoria, AC Milan
Safe for a Year: Atalanta, Hellas Verona, Chievo Verona, Torino
Battling for Safety: Genoa, Palermo, Empoli
Relegated: Cagliari, Cesena, Sassuolo

Serie A Eleven: De Sanctis; Benatia, Chellini, Vidic; Hamsik, Pjanic, Pogba, Vidal, Honda; Iturbe, Klose

Coppa Italia: Lazio

Serie A Notes: Most followers of football will probably think it’s laughable that I have given AS Roma the title over Juventus this season, but I have two valid reasons for it.  First, I think that Roma made some of the best improvements to their squad over the summer transfer window.  They were able to secure the signings of Ashley Cole, Radja Nainggolan, Juan Iturbe and Leo Paredes without really weakening the squad at all. They sold Dodo to Inter Milan for 8 million Euros and Michael Bradley to Toronto for less than that.  Second, Juventus is really committed to making an impression on Europe this year.  They have been absolutely fantastic in the Serie A these past 3 years, there is no doubt about that.  But they haven’t qualified for a semi-final in that time, and spent last season in the Europa League knockout rounds which was quite a big blow.  They stepped it up by spending almost 40 million Euros on players this summer, but most of it was experience which I believe to be an interest in a long European run... Milan is falling apart.  They can’t get any big players interested in signing there anymore, and most of the talent has left.  If they can get productivity out of Mario Balotelli and Stephan El Sharaawy this year, then they may leave as well.  If that happens, it could be a long fall for the former European giants...

Champions League:

Semi-Final: Real Madrid v Bayern Munich / Chelsea v Manchester Utd (just kidding, obviously) v Juventus

Final: Real Madrid v Chelsea

Winner: Real Madrid

Notes:  Real Madrid is one of the few teams in recent history (2008-12 Barcelona, 2003-07 AC Milan) that has the squad capable of challenging for every trophy and depth to overcome the most disastrous of injury lists.  I might go one further and say they are deeper than that AC Milan team, at least in the mid-field.  If Sami Khedira and both Angel Di Maria stay, there is no doubting the talents of this squad.  Neither player is penciled in the starting eleven as of right now; they could probably walk into every club sans Chelsea and Bayern Munich.  I almost believe Khedira would start ahead of Nemanja Matic if picked for the biggest match.  Isco may get all of ten matches this season.  In any case, it’s because of this and a huge belief in the resurgence of one Iker Casillas that has me believing that Real Madrid will host their 11th Champions Cup trophy... Bayern once again looks to have a strong team, but I believe two things will keep them from hoisting the trophy again.  First, Pep Guardiola who I believe has made this team less indomitable with his need for high quantities of possession and opportunities.  They were stronger when they defended and pushed forward through counter-attacks and the like.  Second, the midfield is slowly weakening.  While I like both the signings of Sebastian Rode and Robert Lewandoski has a whole, they are missing that extra piece of flair that Toni Kroos and Luis Gustavo brought on to the pitch.  I would like to have seen them sign Julian Draxler or Wesley Sneijder to really give them that special look.  Especially if they are going to become this possession-based side.  While Thiago Alcantara is on his way to becoming one of the world’s best, they are missing that player through the center that can really make things happen.  Thomas Muller will have to play there for now, as his place up top has been taken... This is the year that I think Juventus will really make a big play.  The entire summer brought forth the idea that they were planning on selling a top player in order to balance the books.  Both Arturo Vidal and Paul Pogba will be around for another season to help them push on.  The defense is still intact, and Gianluigi Buffon is going to give it another go in goal.  Andrea Pirlo appears ageless and they were also able to add Alvaro Morata to attack to join up with Carlos Tevez and Fernando Llorente.  They should take a little off of the gas in Serie A, just because they’ve been so strong there lately, and I think they make that extra little effort to get to the Champions League semi-finals... Jose is building something special at Stamford Bridge.  They had a little more attacking talent in years past, especially when it was Juan Mata, Eden Hazard, Oscar and Frank Lampard leading the show.  Case in point when they won Europe in 2012 and finished in the semi-finals last season.  But with the addition of Cesc Fabregas who has been one of the world’s best unless he sits behind Xavi, they should go to that next level.  Having Fabregas will allow Ramires, Matic and John Obi Mikel to do what they do best which is to break up attacks, and set Chelsea on the run.  I know some people have been disappointed with the decisions of Jose, but it’s always been about his style, and this Chelsea team is almost a replica of what he had at Inter Milan.  If Diego Costa can do his best Diego Milito impression, there is no reason for Chelsea not to be challenging for this trophy.

My Favorite Eleven for the Season:

David De Gea (Manchester United) GK – Has really put himself in the conversation for world’s best.

Kwadwo Asamoah (Juventus) LB – Juventus uses him more as a wing-back but he is an absolute joy to watch.

Thiago Silva (PSG) CB – It took awhile, but now I really appreciate his calm approach to every attack. Gives PSG a chance at Europe.

Vincent Kompany (Manchester City) CB – I’ve loved City’s captain since his time at Anderlecht.  I know his spell in Germany was sub par, but he is one of the best of this era.

Mattia De Sciglio (AC Milan) RB – Won’t be playing in Europe this season, but I had really hoped Alex Ferguson had signed him in years past.  He’s an intriguing talent.

Paul Pogba (Juventus) CDM – I am obsessed.  Looking forward to Juventus’ progress in the Champions League with an eagerness I’ve never felt before.  Not even with Edgar Davids and Zinedine Zidane. 

Arjen Robben (Bayern Munich) RM/LM – He’s always been one of my favorites even considering his antics.  Never played for a club I’ve cared for, so this season should be fun.

Adnan Januzaj (Manchester United) LM/RM – If I’m Manchester United, he is currently unsellable.  Maybe I’m jumping the gun, but I think that #11 suits him very well indeed.

Marco Reus (Borussia Dortmund) CF – It’s been a long time since I’ve known from the first second how good a player is going to be.  I would say since the debut season of Wayne Rooney or my year in Germany watching Michael Ballack at the least.  Reus is made of the stuff of legends.  Dortmund still has a chance of European glory, essentially because of this guy.

Wayne Rooney (Manchester United) ST – United fan or neutral, I’ve always been a fan of his game.  He has a very unassuming style of play and makes the extraordinary out of the ordinary.  This really should be the year of his culmination, I’m excited to see how he takes Manchester United into its new era.


Zlatan Ibrahmovic (PSG) ST – I seriously, really wanted to name one of my children after him once I saw his goal against England.  Some would say it’s not even his greatest, but it still gives me goosebumps/tears/butterflies when I watch it on youtube.  It really shows the beauty of soccer summed compactly into a neat little box.  The joy, the passion, the inspiration, the creativity, the composure, the risk, every little attribute that players strive for.  If you get the chance this year, watch Zlatan has much as you can.   #DareToZlatan

No comments:

Post a Comment